Publications

Jihyun Eum, Ian Sheldon, Hyeseon Shin, Stanley Thompson (2024). Upgrading Food Product Quality: Evaluating the Impact of Competition and Non-Tariff Measures. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics. [Link]

Abstract
In this paper, the effect of non-tariff measures (NTMs) on upgrading of food product quality is analyzed. Based on a multi-sector Schumpeterian model, and given threat of entry, compliance costs, and monopoly profits, NTMs are predicted to have heterogeneous effects on quality upgrading. Using disaggregated data for 14 European Union (EU) countries across 18 food industries for the period 2008-2019, NTM enforcement is found to deter quality upgrading for products distant from the quality frontier due to compliance costs. Conversely, NTM enforcement stimulates quality upgrading for products close to the quality frontier, given an increased probability of capturing monopoly profits.


Working Papers

[Job Market Paper] Hyeseon Shin. Agriculture, Trade, Migration and Climate Change. Draft available upon request.

Abstract
Given the agricultural sector’s substantial contribution to both GDP and employment in developing economies, climate shocks affecting agricultural productivity have the potential to reshape inter-regional and inter-sectoral labor reallocation, as well as agricultural production. I build and quantify a dynamic spatial general equilibrium model incorporating farmers’ optimal crop choices, household migration, and international trade. The model is quantified for 12 major crops and 60 regions covering 145 countries around the world. This study shows that the general equilibrium effects of labor mobility are nontrivial, and labor reallocation can play a crucial role in mitigating the adverse effects of climate change along with production and trade adjustments.

Yongyang Cai, Khyati Malik, Hyeseon Shin. Dynamics of Global Emission Permit Prices and Regional Social Cost of Carbon under Noncooperation. [Preprint].

Abstract
We build a dynamic multi-region model of climate and economy with emission permit trading among 12 aggregated regions in the world. We solve for the dynamic Nash equilibrium under noncooperation, wherein each region adheres to the emission cap constraints following commitments that were first outlined in the 2015 Paris Agreement and updated in subsequent years. Our model shows that the emission permit price reaches $811 per ton of carbon by 2050. We demonstrate that a regional carbon tax is complementary to the global cap-and-trade system, and the optimal regional carbon tax is equal to the difference between the regional marginal abatement cost and the permit price.


Hyeseon Shin, Raphael Gomes de Silva, Valentyn Litvinov, Saera Oh, Anh Phuoc Thien Nguyen (2024). The Future of (Ag-) Trade and Trade Governance in Times of Economic Sanctions and Declining Multilateralism. IATRC Trade Policy Brief. [PDF]